MozGuide

What will Giovanna do now?

The above images indicates that by February 20, after bringing strong winds and heavy rain to the coastline, Giovanna is expected to dissipate in the Mozambique Channel east of Xai-Xai
 

http://metzone.weathersa.co.za/images/articles/ma_sy.gif? Cyclone Giovanna is now "Overland Depression - Ex Giovanna" which means that Madagascar has taken the sting out of it's tail, for now anyway.

However as Giovanna moves over the warm waters of the Mozambican Channel, she MAY rejuvenate and bring high winds and heavy rainfall to southern Mozambique's coastline.  My educated guess is that areas south of Inhambane to Maputo will be affected.   Noted that Giovanna is NOT expected to regains Cyclone strength and should now be termed a tropical storm.

Giovanna weakening over Madagascar.

Giovanna centred over Vatomandry central Madagascar.   Forecasts are that it will affect the southern Mozambican coastline between Nova Mambone and Xai-Xai by Thursday February 16.