GIOVANNA MAY HIT VILANCULOS / INHAMBANE
REGION
source: http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/sh1212.gif
According to www.tropicalstormrisk.com Cyclone Giovanna MAY (the computer models don't predict this far ahead with much certainty) arrive at the southern Mozambican coastline in about 120hrs (5 days) from now, i.e approximately Wednesday Feb 17, 2012.
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
Giovanna now battering Madagascar: (Feb 13 21h00 SAST)
http://www.worldweatherpost.com/2012/02/13/category-4-giovanna-battering-madagascar/
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