What will Giovanna do now?
The above images indicates that by February 20, after bringing strong winds and heavy rain to the coastline, Giovanna is expected to dissipate in the Mozambique Channel east of Xai-Xai
http://metzone.weathersa.co.za/images/articles/ma_sy.gif? Cyclone Giovanna is now "Overland Depression - Ex Giovanna" which means that Madagascar has taken the sting out of it's tail, for now anyway.
However as Giovanna moves over the warm waters of the Mozambican Channel, she MAY rejuvenate and bring high winds and heavy rainfall to southern Mozambique's coastline. My educated guess is that areas south of Inhambane to Maputo will be affected. Noted that Giovanna is NOT expected to regains Cyclone strength and should now be termed a tropical storm.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Feb, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm GIOVANNA (12S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Xai-Xai (25.0 S, 33.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
| < Prev | Next > |
|---|
